Giants vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 23
Giants vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 23

The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Giants are 65-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 54-74 ATS.

Giants vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-3, 5.05 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 10-12, 3.52 ERA

Giants vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 32 games (+48.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 38 games (+19.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+17.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+21.70 Units / 197% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+12.65 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 63 away games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 97 games (+6.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games at home (+18.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games at home (+10.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games at home (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 53 games at home (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 64-65 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.01% ROI).

  • 65-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -4.84% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.32% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -8.27% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 54-74 against the Run Line (-26.25 Units / -16.19% ROI).

  • 64-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -9.16% ROI
  • 55-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.9 Units / -13.59% ROI
  • 68-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 5.26% ROI

Mariners vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Mariners vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Victor Robles (SEA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Castillo (Sea) 6.5 -145 6.5 +110
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 6.5 +120 6.5 -155

Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 35% of batters they faced (18/52 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has an ERA of 10.64 (11.0 IP)this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 4.25 — first Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 60% (137/229) this month (3 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (29 Total Bases / 44 ABs) this month (3 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .420 — third Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Castillo has allowed a just .316 SLG vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 90th Percentile and .482 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 39% (71 SO in 181 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 10 of 234 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 60 of 756 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 21st Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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