The San Francisco Giants (+145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-175) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Giants are 43-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 47-38 ATS.

Giants vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 7-2, 3.50 ERA

Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

• Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games (+17.62 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 71 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 85 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 43-45 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -5.1% ROI).

• 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.93% ROI
• 48-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.7 Units / 8.01% ROI
• 37-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -16.56% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-38 against the Run Line (+14.3 Units / 13.88% ROI).

• 54-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.62 Units / 15.77% ROI
• 42-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.22% ROI
• 37-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -9.68% ROI

Guardians vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erik Miller has recorded 11 of his 22 strikeouts (50%) against right-handed batters with his changeup this season — tied for highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (7/68) against Erik Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (42/68) against Erik Miller this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (12/94) against Erik Miller this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 12% (5/40) against Tanner Bibee when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 35% (54 SO in 153 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .164 (35-for-213) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .182 (26-for-143) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 94th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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