The New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles play the second of three Christmas Day matchups, and we offer our top Giants vs. Eagles NFL player props for Week 16 based on the best NFL odds at the best sportsbooks.
Before suffering a 24-6 defeat on the road against the New Orleans Saints, the New York Giants, standing at 5-9, had shown promise with a three-game winning streak. However, that loss marked their seventh double-digit defeat of the season, solidifying a concerning trend for the team, as the Giants secured their ninth losing record in the last 11 seasons.
Philadelphia (10-4) enters this game in not much better shape, as it's lost three consecutive games, its longest losing streak with Jalen Hurts as its starting quarterback.
These teams will meet twice in the next three weeks, and the Eagles have won 10 consecutive home games against the Giants. In addition, H urts is 17-1 straight-up in his career as a home favorite.
Here are our best Giants vs. Eagles NFL player props for Week 16. Also check out our NFL Christmas Day predictions and Giants-Eagles prediction (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Giants vs. Eagles NFL player props: Week 16
Whatever MVP odds hopes Jalen Hurts is still clinging to is tied to his unique rushing volume, as he has gone consecutive games without a passing touchdown but has had multiple rushing touchdowns in three of the last five weeks.
However, Hurts' schedule has been murderous with six consecutive games against teams currently .500 or better (a stretch that has seen him rank in the bottom four in passer rating), and I expect the Eagles offense to get right in a big way against the Giants defense.
New York ranks in the bott om eight in passing yards per game and adjusted completion rate since Week 10.
The Giants are coming off allowing Derek Carr to throw for a season-high three touchdowns, so I'm buying low on Hurts after he had season-lows in passing yards (143), yards per attempt (4.6), completion percentage (55%), and touchdown-to-interception ratio (0-2) last week.
We are getting great value for Hurts to throw for multiple touchdowns at BetRivers, especially since the Over is juiced as high as -114 at FanDuel.
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If we expect Hurts to throw for multiple touchdowns, then the +105 odds offered at FanDuel for Brown to find the end zone is great value, especially compared to the -105 odds at BetMGM.
Brown has just one touchdown in the last five games, but faces a Giants defense that has allowed 18 different players to catch a touchdown.
From a fantasy perspective, that ranks in the bottom five of points per reception (PPR) points allowed per game to wide receivers.
While New York allows the third-most rushing touchdowns to opponents this season, Brown has the second-most yards against man coverage, a 45% target share and 52.8% of the team's air yards when facing a blitz (per Sharp Football Analysis). This is something the Giants do at the second-highest rate in the league.
This is a three-star play at the best sportsbooks as Brown continues to be a target hog (10 or more targets in three straight games) and has seen 33 more targets than teammate DeVonta Smith when Hurts is bl itzed.
New York tight end Darren Waller has not been the red-zone threat many imagined he would be, with just one receiving touchdown in nine games.
However, he is still the team's second-leading receiver despite limited playing time and he ran routes on nearly 48% of New York's pass plays in his first game back from injury last week.
I expect Waller's target share to increase from the 27.3% he saw on his routes last week with another game under his belt, especially when facing an Eagles defense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends.
This is a four-star play, as per Sharp Football Analysis, the Eagles rank in the bottom eight of the league in catch rate allowed to tight ends (25th) while Philadelphia overall ranks 28th against the pass.
FanDuel provides the best value for this wager, as BetMGM is jui ced as high as -130 for Waller to haul in four-plus passes.
Giants vs. Eagles player props made 12/22/2023 at 1:02 p.m. ET
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