The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Giants vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 64-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-68 ATS.
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 away games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 away games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+19.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Franmil Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -11.59% ROI).
- 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.26% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.61% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.21% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 67-68 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -6.69% ROI).
- 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -13.01% ROI
- 57-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -10.24% ROI
- 66-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (293/504) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (893/1,366) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 74% of the time (462/625) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has located his pitches away 59% of the time (854/1,441) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 94th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (800/2,176) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a home run in any of the last 31.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (24/67) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to August 15th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 10.