Giants vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 29
Giants vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 29

The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Giants are 67-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 70-62 ATS.

Giants vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-3, 4.60 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 4-8, 4.84 ERA

Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 37 games (+43.00 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+16.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+15.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+14.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+17.60 Units / 196% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+16.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+16.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 away games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 102 games (+9.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 128 games (+15.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 132 games (+12.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 66-68 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -3.72% ROI).

  • 67-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -5.27% ROI
  • 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 1.74% ROI
  • 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -10.19% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 70-62 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 2.66% ROI).

  • 76-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 7.55% ROI
  • 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.55 Units / 9.4% ROI
  • 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -17.36% ROI

Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Civale (MIL) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155
Hayden Birdsong (SF) 5.5 +125 5.5 -165

Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 40% of batters they faced (28/70 PA’s) this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.

Hayden Birdsong has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Emmanuel Clase has the longest active streak at 20.2.

Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 57% (176/309) this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 41% of Hayden Birdsong’s pitches (126/309) this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 (10 GB hits out of 74 GBs) against Aaron Civale with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 99th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 13% (26 SO in 206 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 20% — second Percentile.

Aaron Civale has struck out just 17% (49/291) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 11th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 61% (404/665) in two strike counts this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 10th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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