The odds are stacked against Denmark for their Round of 16 contest against hosts Germany on Saturday, as we provide our Germany vs. Denmark prediction based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
Denmark haven't fared well against host teams at European championships, losing all five previous contests. Conversely, the decisive advantage host nations garner from their fans and other home luxuries has resulted in victories in 12 of the last 14 knockout matches, excluding penalties.
Current form also goes against Denmark, who were lucky to progress after three successive group-stage draws. Germany dominated Scotland and Hungary before tying Switzerland in the team's Group A finale. As such, the Germans are clear favorites across our best sports betting apps and are getting the third-shortest Euro 2024 odds going into the knockout phase.
Germany and Denmark split their previous four head-to-head clashes at major tournaments, with both teams triumphing twice.
Germany vs. Denmark predictions for Saturday
- Final score: Germany 2 – Denmark 0 (+650 via FanDuel)
- Kai Havertz anytime goal scorer (+200 via FanDuel)
- Best bet: Germany and Under 3.5 goals (+115 via BetMGM)
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Germany vs. Denmark score prediction
Germany were as unstoppable and invincible in the first two matches as an irate Wolverine. They swatted aside Hungary and Scotland, outscoring the pair 7-1. Rest assured, that's not how their Round of 16 match against Denmark will transpire.
Like most teams at Euro 2024, Denmark can defend for days. They are org anized, disciplined, and relentless, which will make it exceedingly challenging for Germany to find holes to exploit.
However, Germany boast more than enough attacking talent to either score a wonder goal or capitalize on a rare Denmark mistake. The opening goal will shape the rest of the matchup, eventually forcing Denmark to open up like a fancy, overpriced wine in a decanter. That should facilitate Germany's second goal, surely through a perfectly executed counter.
Besides the strikes from Christian Eriksen and Morten Hjulmand against England, Denmark have been about as threatening as a baby brandishing a flaccid rubber knife.
Rasmus Hojlund has mustered just two shots over 209 minutes of action in his Euros debut. I don't expect the team's anemic attack to suddenly turn on against a solid German defense.
FanDuel's +650 odds come with the most value, offering a profit of $65 on a winning $10 bet. The implied probability of those odds is 13.33%.& nbsp;
Best odds: +650 via FanDuel
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Germany vs. Denmark anytime goal scorer prediction
While Niclas Fullkrug and Jamal Musiala are enticing options for the anytime goalscorer market, I landed on Kai Havertz, who isn't as quick, explosive, or powerful as the aforementioned pair.
However, Havertz will almost certainly start, while Fullkrug will probably be used off the bench, as he was so effectively during the group stage. Fullkrug is still a solid bet to show why he's the best super sub in the tournament.
I'm backing Havertz for two primary reasons. First, he possesses a wealth of experience, scoring 17 goals in 49 caps with the national side. Second, Havertz is Germany's penalty-taker. He scored against Scotland from the spot, and there's a chance a German penalty will decide this match. He's logged two goals in the last four matches and is capable of scoring a crucial goal for the h osts.
At +200, FanDuel and bet365 offer the best value for this prop. BetMGM and DraftKings are slotting Havertz at +175. The +200 odds offer an implied probability of 33.33%, and a $10 wager will pay a profit of $20.
Best odds: +200 via FanDuel
Germany vs. Denmark best bet
As the clear favorites, Germany doesn't offer much value on the moneyline, so I'm coupling it with Under 3.5 goals. The 3.5 total goals leads to a slight buffer, as I don't expect this match to exceed two, at least in the opening 90 minutes. This combination allows for a 2-1 victory after extra time or penalties.
Germany was impressive against two inferior sides in Scotland and Hungary. Their matchup against the Danes won't be nearly as easy. Fullkrug scored a late equalizer against Switzerland to secure his side the top spot in Group A, while De nmark potted two goals in three Group C matches.
Eriksen was lethal with his finish against Slovenia, and Hjulmand will never hit a ball sweeter than he did against England. Unless Hojlund saves his best for pressure cookers, I can't see Denmark scoring more than once.
At +115, BetMGM's odds represent a 46.51% probability. Place a $10 wager, and you'll profit $11.50 if it hits.
Best odds: +115 via BetMGM
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Germany vs. Denmark game info
- When: Saturday, June 29 (3 p.m. ET)
- Where: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund, Germany)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Germany (-165 via FanDuel)
Germany-Denmark predictions made Thursday at 2:30 p.m. ET.
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