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Our best sports betting sites decided, in the end, that you simply don't make Alabama a home underdog.
With the kickoff of Saturday's marquee Week 5 showdown just around the corner, the No. 4 Crimson Tide (3-0) have gone from +2.5 to -1 against No. 2 Georgia (3-0).
It's quite the movement the day before these SEC powerhouses face off, but how has that impacted the player prop markets? Our Georgia vs. Alabama player props have you covered.
As part of our college football Week 5 predictions, we're identifying the best betting angles for the main event on Saturday.
We also have a Georgia vs. Alabama prediction and Jalen Milroe player prop bets.
Georgia vs. Alabama college football player prop bets: Saturday
Odds as of Friday and subject to change.
- Jam Miller anyt ime touchdown (+154 via FanDuel) ???
- Jam Miller Over 52.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ????
- Jalen Milroe Under 0.5 interceptions (-129 via Caesars) ???
College football picks made Friday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Georgia vs. Alabama touchdown pick
It's tempting to bet on defense when Georgia and Alabama square off, but someone is going to find the end zone on Saturday. There are too many NFL-level players on the field.
Alabama running back Jam Miller is my favorite touchdown bet. He has scored three times in as many games, despite the Crimson Tide not playing a competitive contest. The best sports betting apps aren't properly pricing Miller as Alabama's RB1, but more on that later.< /p>
FanDuel offers a +154 value on Miller to score on Saturday, meaning a $10 bet nets a $15.40 profit. He's trading as low as +125 at DraftKings, so take anything +150 or better.
Best odds: +154 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 39.37%
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Best Georgia vs. Alabama prop bets
Miller has established himself as the starting running back for Alabama. He has cleared this rushing prop in all three games before eventually surrendering some work to Justice Haynes in blowouts.
The one game when the Crimson Tide were challenged a bit came against USF. Miller recorded 140 yards on 15 carries in that game. He also played 17 snaps compared to Haynes' seven against Wisconsin last time out.
This would be a five-star prediction by betting the Over on ESPN BET's line of 44.5, but I like this prop up to 54.5 as a four-star play.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
My favorite pick from this week's college football player props column was Under 24.5 receiving yards for Alabama's Kobe Prentice. But that line has dropped to an unplayable territory for me at 19.5.
So, I'll take another passing-related prop by betting against Crimson Tide QB Jalen Milroe throwing an interception. He has yet to throw one this season, though some of that could be because he hasn't had to do too much.
Milroe took care of the ball last year, throwing six interceptions all season, including two against Texas. He didn't throw an interception against Georgia. PFF has charged Milroe with only one turnover-worthy play this year and 11 last season.
Caesars is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering this prop, but the -129 price on the Under is worth grabbing before kickoff.
Best odds: -129 via Caesars | Implied probability: 56.33%
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Georgia vs. Alabama game info
- When: Saturday, Sept. 28
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Ala.
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 72 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, 11-mph winds SW
- Favorite: Alabama -1 (-105 via BetMGM)
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