The Georgia Southern Eagles (2-1) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Oxford, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm E DT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-115).
The Georgia Southern vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 67.5 total points.
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Georgia Southern vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia Southern vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia Southern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Bets Today
- Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Georgia Southern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.23% ROI
- Ole Miss is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
- Ole Miss is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
Georgia Southern is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143
Georgia Southern is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Georgia Southern is 2-7 (.222) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Georgia Southern is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Ole Miss is undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Ole Miss is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
Ole Miss is 9-2 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .391
Ole Miss is 11-2 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .495
Ole Miss’s WRs has averaged 29.0 targets per game this season — highest among SEC WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 16.3 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.1% of 110 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.