The Georgia Southern Eagles (2-2) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (2-1) on Sep. 28 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Georgia State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia State will win this game with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Georgia State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 72.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia Southern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Georgia State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.35 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Bets Today
- Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Cadarrius Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tailique Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ahmon Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).
Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
Georgia Southern is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .487
Georgia Southern is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
Georgia Southern is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .507
Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Georgia State is 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .463
Georgia State is 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Georgia State is 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .656
Georgia State is 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385