The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (4-5) on Nov. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Las Vegas.
Fresno State are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Fresno State vs. UNLV is 60.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 61.4% confidence.
Fresno State vs UNLV Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 74.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 96% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State has gone 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -28.98% ROI).
- Fresno State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -31.77% ROI
- Fresno State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
- Fresno State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).
- UNLV is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -14.65% ROI
- UNLV is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- UNLV is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Fresno State is 13-2 (.765) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .513