The Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (3-0) on Sep. 28 in Paradise, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Fresno State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and UNLV, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Fresno State Player Prop Bets Today
- Malik Sherrod has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mikey Keene has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jalen Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Elijah Gilliam has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UNLV Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ricky White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 60.61% ROI).
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
Fresno State is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .598
Fresno State is 9-1 (.900) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Fresno State is 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .549
Fresno State is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
UNLV is 8-5 (.615) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
UNLV is 10-5 (.667) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
UNLV is 6-5 (.545) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379
UNLV is 11-3 (.786) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .651