We are without a London game this week, which makes our 4pm slate a little more interesting. The game of the week, Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs, will have the most eyes on it. However, I've found great value in a few of the other matchups later in the day. Check back in later in the week for late additions!
Check out our full Sunday analysis here.
Travis Kelce Over 77.5 Receiving Yards -115
I'm viewing this like a playoff game for both teams. And for that, I have to revert back to Kelce's production against the Bills in playoffs these last two years: 118 yards and 96 yards. Kelce's only hit this in 2/5 games this season, but still averaging 8 targets per game. The Chiefs have been shown a surprising amount of man coverage this season, but the Bills enter the game still banged up on defense. We can expect the Chiefs to see a lot more zone looks than they have this season, which bodes well for Kelce. He has a team high 18 targets for 13.6 yards per reception against zone coverage in 2022. The increased amount of man coverage could explain the down numbers we’ve seen lately from Kelce. I'm on this for 2U and would play up to 79.5