The Florida State Seminoles (5-3) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (4-4) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami Gardens.
Florida State are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Over/Under for Florida State vs. Miami (FL) is 52.5 total points.
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Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 61.2% confidence.
Florida State vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida State and Miami (FL), plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Florida State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Johnny Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jordan Travis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Mycah Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ontaria Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+7.20 Units / 97% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Miami (FL) Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida State has gone 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.75 Units / 19.89% ROI).
- Florida State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 1.26% ROI
- Florida State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Florida State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Miami (FL) Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (FL) has gone 1-6 against the spread this college football season (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI).
- Miami (FL) is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -32.18% ROI
- Miami (FL) is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Miami (FL) is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Florida State is 7-3 (.636) when scoring 22 or more points — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505
Florida State is 3-13 (.188) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465
Florida State is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450
Florida State is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509
Miami (FL) is winless (0-2) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386
Miami (FL) is 2-7 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431
Miami (FL) is 2-1 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .376
Miami (FL) is 3-8 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447
Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 488 yards on 37 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — fourth-best among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.