Falcons vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16
Falcons vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

The Atlanta Falcons (5-9) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (9-5) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Falcons vs. Ravens Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.

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Falcons vs. Ravens Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 16 game with 71.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 16 with 56.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Marcus Mariota has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tyler Huntley has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+5.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Tyler Huntley has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Falcons

Player Name 1st TD Odds
J.K. Dobbins +550
Mark Andrews +600
Cordarrelle Patterson +750
Gus Edwards +800
Tyler Allgeier +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Falcons

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
J.K. Dobbins -105
Mark Andrews +110
Cordarrelle Patterson +130
Tyler Allgeier +145
Gus Edwards +170

  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)

Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 8-6 (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • Falcons are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -23.82% ROI
  • Falcons are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Falcons are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 5-8 (-3.95 Units / -25.48% ROI).

  • Ravens are 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 4.94% ROI
  • Ravens are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Ravens are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI

Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Falcons are winless (0-4) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Falcons are winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .383.

The Falcons are 3-11 (.214) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.

The Falcons are 1-6 (.143) on the road this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons

The Ravens are 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .318.

  
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