The Atlanta Falcons (3-2-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (1-4-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Falcons vs. Panthers Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this game with 63.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today
- Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ray-Ray McCloud has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.35 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adam Thielen has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 18 games (+3.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons art 2-3 (-1.4 Units / -25% ROI).
- Falcons are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 16.91% ROI
- Falcons are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Falcons are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Panthers are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -38% ROI
- Panthers are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Panthers are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Falcons were 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Falcons were 3-5 (.375) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Falcons are 2-6 (.250) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.
The Falcons were 2-8 (.200) when intercepting no passes last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers are 1-18 (.053) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
The Panthers are 3-19 (.136) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers were 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have run successful plays on 51.6% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed successful plays on 49.0% of rush attempts with a base front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.