The Atlanta Falcons (4-5) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (2-7) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Charlotte for Thursday Night Football.
The Falcons are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Falcons vs. Panthers Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 10 game with 55.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread this Week 10 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Falcons and Panthers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the Completions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Laviska Shenault Jr. has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 105% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tommy Tremble has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Falcons
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Terrace Marshall Jr. | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -120 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 22.5 -110 | 22.5 -120 |
| DJ Moore | 59.5 -110 | 59.5 -120 |
| Drake London | 38.5 -115 | 38.5 -115 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Panthers vs Falcons
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -115 |
Falcons Team Props for Week 10:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Panthers Team Props for Week 10:
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+5.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 6-3 (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).
- Falcons are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -3.45% ROI
- Falcons are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Falcons are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 3-6 (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Panthers are 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -12.57% ROI
- Panthers are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI
- Panthers are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Falcons are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .625.
The Falcons were 2-6 (.250) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.
The Falcons are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Falcons are 2-7 (.222) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .653.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Panthers are 1-5 (.167) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.