The Atlanta Falcons (0-1-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (1-0-0) on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Falcons vs. Eagles Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Falcons vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Longest Rush Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rondale Moore has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 9 games at home (+9.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Falcons went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Falcons are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Eagles went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Eagles are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
- Eagles are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Eagles are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Falcons were winless (0-3) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Falcons were 4-9 (.308) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Falcons were 2-1 (.667) vs top 10 defenses last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Falcons were 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Eagles are undefeated (11-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles are 12-6 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.
The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.