The 2022 NFL season is underway and the Week 5 schedule is full of exciting showdowns. One of the more interesting matchups is an NFC South clash between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
While the Falcons haven't looked too special this se ason, they've now won two straight games following a 23-20 victory over the Cleveland Browns. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have now lost back-to-back games after falling to the Kansas City Chiefs, 41-31.
Can Atlanta continue to shock the football world with their third straight win? Or will Brady build on his past dominance over the Falcons, leading Tampa Bay to victory?
Here's what projection models and experts across the industry have to say about the Falcons vs Buccaneers Week 5 matchup.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Projections
ES PN FPI:'Buccaneers (87.2%)
numberFire:'Buccaneers (81.2%)
FiveThirtyEight:'Buccaneers (82%)
Betting Favorite:'Buccaneers (-10)
Projected Winner:'Buccaneers (4)
Falcons vs Buccaneers Expert Picks
ESPN Experts:'Buccaneers (7)
Sports Illustrated Experts:'TBD
CBS Sports Experts:'Buccaneers (5), Falcons (2)
Expert Totals:'Buccaneers (12), Falcons (2)
When it comes to projections, the four highlighted sources are all backing the Buccaneers to win. As for the experts, 85.7% of them also back Tampa to win.
For those hoping for a Falcons upset, their best chance of winning comes in at 18.8% on . In other words, don't hold your breath.
The Buccaneers have won four straight games against the Falcons since Brady arrived in Tampa, which is a trend that doesn't appear to be changing any time soon.