Expert NFL Best Bets: Picks and predictions for Week 14
Expert NFL Best Bets: Picks and predictions for Week 14  

Week 14 NFL best bets and predictions

Each week, I'll be looking through Sunday's NFL games to try and feed my readers three winners. That continues with the three best bets I have for the Week 14 slate. Keep reading to find out what I have and make sure you also check out what my talented VSiN colleagues are playing. Those plays, along with all of our NFL content for the week, are available at our Week 14 NFL Bet Hub. You can also get all of our picks for the week on the Pro Picks page. 

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Houston Texans at New York Jets – 1:00 pm ET

It doesn’t take a world class handicapper to tell you to fade the Jets, but sometimes it’s best to just keep things simple. I’m 2-0 when betting against New York in my best bets column this year, and I feel good about going against the team again here. There was another circus held at One Jets Drive this week, as the team decided to turn back to Zach Wilson as its starting quarterback. But Wilson apparently didn’t want to accept the promotion. The quarterback denied that report on Wednesday, but his head coach wouldn’t exactly rule it out a few days prior. That’s not a great sign heading into the week — especially against a team that needs a win in order to continue fighting for the top spot in the AFC South. 

The reality is that this Houston team is 13th in the league in Defensive DVOA against the run, so New York could have trouble establishing Breece Hall here. That would then put a lot on the plate of Wilson, who has somehow thrown for only six touchdowns in parts of 10 games this season. He just hasn’t been taking many shots through the air. Wilson implied that he’ll be a bit more aggressive in this game. The problem with that is that Wilson has proven to be a mistake-prone quarterback in the past. So, he could throw some interceptions if he does decide to play a little more freely. The Texans also happen to have Derek Stingley Jr. to go out and cover Garrett Wilson. Stingley Jr. is one of the better young corners in the league, so he should do well with the assignment. 

  
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By VSiN