Expert MLB best bets, picks and predictions today, 7/29

We’ve made it to the weekend in Major League Baseball, and there’s a huge slate of games to dive into. The action starts at 3:07 pm ET north of the border as the Angels take on Alek Manoah and the Blue Jays, but I’ve focused on a bet about 3,000 miles away from that game along with a divisional battle in St. Louis. Let's get into my MLB best bets for Saturday, and be sure to also visit our MLB predictions for all of today's games.

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Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants F3 Under 2.5 (-120) – 3U

Available at FanDuel Sportsbook at'time of'publishing

For my favorite play of the day, we head to San Francisco for the second game of the series between the Red Sox and Giants. The pitching matchup will pin James Paxton against Ryan Walker, and I'm immediately drawn to the under. However, not the full game under because Walker won't go more than a few innings. That means we could see Alex Wood or Sean Manaea taking the bulk of the innings, and the last thing I want to do is have my wager hang in the balance of their performance. Instead, I'm targeting the first 3 innings under, which should hopefully isolate just Paxton and Walker. It's pretty simple why I want to back these pitchers as they're criminally underrated. Paxton has a 3.46 ERA paired with a 3.17 xERA, but even that doesn't share his full story.

  
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