Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Odds & Predictions: Mbappe the Favorite to Win Golden Boot
Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Odds & Predictions: Mbappe the Favorite to Win Golden Bootiv class=”bodyContent col-lg-9 mb-3″>

Kylian Mbappe enters Euro 2024 as the favorite to lead the event in goals with his French side serving as the second-biggest favorite to win the tournament, and we look at the Euro 2024 top goal scorer odds across our best soccer betting sites.

Fresh off leading the 2022 World Cup in scoring, Kylian Mbappe enters Euro 2024 as arguably the best player in the world. His Paris Saint-Germain side won Ligue 1 once again this past season, and he paced the French top flight in scoring by a wide margin.

Alongside Mbappe on the oddsboard is English star forward Harry Kane, who, despite his best efforts at new club Bayern Munich this past season, remains trophyless.

However, even if Kane's England side doesn't win Euro 2024, he can still very much earn some individual hardware. The striker scored 36 league goals for Bayern this year, and he'll look to take that for m into the Euro when the tournament begins on June 14.

Alongside those two looms the ever-present Cristiano Ronaldo, who's twice earned the Golden Boot in this tournament, doing so as recently as 2020. Will Ronaldo repeat as the tournament's top goal scorer, or will a younger star dethrone him?

In addition to our look at the UEFA Euro 2024 odds, here are the best odds for the tournament's top goal scorer from our best sports betting sites.  

Top goal scorer odds for Euro 2024

(Euro 2024 top goal scorer odds as of May 30)

Player DraftKings bet365
Kylian Mbappe +500 +500
Harry Kane +550 +550
Cristiano Ronaldo +1200 +1200
Jude Bellingham +1600 +1600 
Olivier Giroud +2000 +2000
Romelu Lukaku +2000 +2000
Antoine Griezmann +2500 +2500
Alvaro Morata +2500  +3300
Bukayo Saka +2500  +3300
Phil Foden +3000  +2500

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What to look for in a Golden Boot winner

There are many ways to identify solid candidates to win the Golden Boot at a major international tournament.

First, you want to select players who are more likely to play deeper into the tournament. Ronaldo may score three or four goals in the group stage, but if his Portuguese side is knocked out in the Round of 16 and Mbappe and France progress to the final, the latter will naturally have a better chance of scoring more goals.

Second, you want to target teams that are more offensively minded. If you track a nation's recent form and see they win most of their games by scoring only one or maybe two goals, then even the best player on that team may not be the right option in this market.

The third thing to look for is players who are on penalties. As someone who plays Premier League fantasy and just saw how valuable Cole Palmer was thanks to his role as Chelsea's penalty-taker, this is really something to track. Kane will almost certainly be England's penalty-taker as the captain and one of the world's most cold-blooded finishers.

Fourth, I'd also look at players who are nailed on as starters. Phil Foden and Bukayo Saka are both very interesting options at their long odds, but no one is quite sure how Gareth Southgate will set up his starting XI. Therefore, you may want to avoid betting them until we have more information.

Finally, if you're looking for longer odds and want to bypass the favorites, target players in relatively easy groups. We mentioned that players who advance further will have an obvious advantage, but an attacking player who's prolific enough against inferior competition may just able to win the Golden Boot in far fewer matches.

Best bets for Euro top goal scorer

Mbappe is arguably the world's most lethal striker. He won the Golden Boot at the World Cup in Qatar, scoring eight goals in seven games. Whether France enjoys a deep and fruitful run will probably depend on if Mbappe is at his best.

The 25-year-old will be playing in his second Euro, and he's posted nine goals across eight 2024 qualifier matches. Overall, he's netted 46 goals in 77 caps with France. 

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Kane won the Golden Boot at the 2018 World Cup, scoring six goals in seven matches. He's the Three Lions' all-time goal-scoring leader, bagging 62 goals in 89 contests. The England captain scored eight goals in as many Euro 2024 qualifiers and has notched 12 goals in 22 Euro and World Cup matches combined.

As the odds suggest, deciding between Mbappe and Kane is a tough choice, and the best bet may be just to take both of them.

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How to bet on the 2024 Euro top goal scorer odds

Two of our best sportsbooks feature odds for the top goal scorer, but I expect most to follow suit in the coming week. You'll be able to bet on the Golden Boot winner, as well as on singular goal scorers for each match throughout the tournament.

Odds will change as the tournament nears and once games start being played. The lower (or shorter) the odds, the more likely that player is believed to be capable of leading the tournament in goals.

Euro top goal scorer history

Year Player(s) Country Goals
2020 Cristiano Ronaldo/Patrik Schick  Portugal/Czechia 5
2016 Antoine Griezmann France 6
2012 Fernando Torres/Alan Dzagoev/Mario Gomez/Mario Mandzukic/Mario Balotelli/Cristiano Ronaldo Spain/Russia/Germany/Croatia/Italy/Portugal 3
2008 David Villa  Spain 4
2004 Milan Baros Czechia 5
2000 Patrick Kluivert/Savo Milosevic Netherlands/Yugoslavia 5
1996 Alan Shearer England 5
1992 Henrik Larsen/Karl-Heinz Riedle/Dennis Bergkamp/Tomas Brolin Denmark/Germany/Netherlands/Sweden 3
1988 Marco Van Basten Netherlands 5
1984 Michel Platini< /td>

France 9

If two or more players are tied for the goal-scoring lead at the end of the tournament, the market will result in a dead heat. This means the amount you were set to win will be divided by the number of players who tie for the lead. 

Where can you bet on Euro 2024?

All five of our sites with the best sportsbook promos offer Euro 2024 odds, with the tournament rapidly approaching and the group-stage matches scheduled.

UEFA Euro 2024 FAQs

France's Kylian Mbappe is the favorite to lead the 2024 Euros in goals with odds as short as +500. Thos odds imply a 16.67% probability he'll lead the Euros in goals.

Cristiano Ronaldo and Patrik Schick finished joint-top of the goal scorers list at the 2020 Euros, with Ronaldo claiming Golden Boot honors through the tiebreaker.

Germany will host the 2024 Euro, w ith 10 cities holding matches.

The tournament is set to begin on June 14, 2024 and run until July 14, 2024.

Check out our best World Cup betting sites.

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