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Despite being famous for his big-play abilities, Kelce is averaging just 10.5 yards per reception this season. His career numbers improve on this slightly, raising his total to 12.5 yards per catch. Only five of Kelce's 57 receptions in 2023 cashed the Over on this line. The Kansas City tight end does have a 44-yard grab against the Eagles, but that catch was in 2017 with Alex Smith under center.
Philadelphia has allowed just three opposing tight ends to catch a pass of at least 21 yards this year. Overall in 2023, the Eagles are surrendering 10.2 yards per reception to the position and their defense is holding opposing quarterbacks to just 9.6 yards per completion as well.