Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 4
Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 4

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-1-0) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1-0) on Sep. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Tampa, FL.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 52.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 62.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Chase McLaughlin has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Baker Mayfield has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Buccaneers vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under

Mike Evans (TB)
60.5 -110 60.5 -120

Chris Godwin (TB)
62.5 -120 62.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Buccaneers vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under

Rachaad White (TB)
35.5 -115 35.5 -115
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored first in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+3.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Eagles are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -6.32% ROI
  • Eagles are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Eagles are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 25.89% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Eagles are 8-2 (.800) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 246.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.

The Eagles are 13-5 (.722) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .390.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) after a road win since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

The Buccaneers were 3-1 (.750) when playing in cold weather last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Buccaneers were winless (0-5) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .293.

The Buccaneers are winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .146.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have averaged -0.36 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed -0.39 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

  
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