The Troy Trojans (8-5) visit Protective Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (6-6) on Dec. 23 in Birmingham, AL.
Duke is a betting favorite in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Duke Over/Under is 44 total points.
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Troy vs Duke Prediction, Birmingham Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this bowl game with 60.0% confidence.
Troy vs Duke Spread Prediction, Birmingham Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Troy have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Duke Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Troy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Troy Player Prop Bets Today
- Chris Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jabre Barber has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kimani Vidal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Gunnar Watson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.35 Units / 135% ROI)
- Kimani Vidal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Duke players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Duke Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 72% ROI)
- Riley Leonard has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Sahmir Hagans has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke is 8-5 against the spread this college football season (+2.5 Units / 17.61% ROI).
- Troy is 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 14.29% ROI
- Troy is 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- Troy is 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.65 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- Duke is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 8.34% ROI
- Duke is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Duke is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Troy is undefeated (18-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .419
Troy is undefeated (9-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .515
Troy is undefeated (17-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .472
Troy is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .499
Duke is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .557
Duke is 12-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 18th-best in FBS; Average: .453
Duke is 12-2 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .638
Duke is 3-12 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 31st-worst in FBS; Average: .339
Duke has gained 2,014 yards on 168 receptions (just 12.0 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among ACC skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.
Duke’s QBs has thrown for 2,014 passing yards in 11 games (just 183.1 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. Troy’s defense has allowed just 197.3 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.