The Miami Dolphins (8-4) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Inglewood.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Dolphins vs. Chargers Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this Week 14 game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 14 with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Trent Sherfield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Tyreek Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeff Wilson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Durham Smythe has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Keenan Allen has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Sony Michel has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+4.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 6-6 (-0.65 Units / -4.83% ROI).
- Dolphins are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 17.64% ROI
- Dolphins are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Dolphins are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Chargers are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -15.36% ROI
- Chargers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
- Chargers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Dolphins are 6-1 (.857) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — eighth-best in NFL. The Chargers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 14 s this season — fifth-highest in NFL.
The Dolphins are 6-3 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .302.
The Dolphins are undefeated (4-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Dolphins are 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .547.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Chargers are 4-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble this season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .562.
The Chargers are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 22 points this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .719.