The Miami Dolphins (8-5) visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills (10-3) on Dec. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Orchard Park.
The Bills are betting favorites in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Dolphins vs. Bills Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.
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Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction for Week 15
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 15 game with 74.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread this Week 15 with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Bills, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Dolphins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeff Wilson has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trent Sherfield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 15, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets for Week 15:
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)
Bills Best Bets for Week 15:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 15 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins have gone 6-7 (-1.85 Units / -12.63% ROI).
- Dolphins are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 10.56% ROI
- Dolphins are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- Dolphins are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- Bills are 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.42% ROI
- Bills are 3-10 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -55.94% ROI
- Bills are 10-3 when betting the Under for +6.7 Units / 46.85% ROI
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Dolphins are 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for eighth-worst in NFL. The Bills have intercepted 13 passes this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.
The Dolphins are 5-1 (.833) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Bills have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for third-most in NFL.
The Dolphins are undefeated (4-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .593.
The Dolphins are 1-3 (.250) when losing at least one fumble this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Bills are 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .518.
The Bills are 16-2 (.889) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .563.