Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 9
Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+150) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Dodgers are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-5 ATS.

Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 2-0, 3.18 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-1, 6.76 ERA

Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+15.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 away games (+19.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.54 Units / -10.76% ROI).

  • 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 7.7% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.62 Units / 25.26% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -33.06% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-5 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -34.83% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -52.15% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 47.9% ROI

Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Muncy 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Smith 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Ohtani 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Hernandez 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Lux 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Glasnow 8.5 +120 8.5 -155
Varland 5.5 -110 5.5 -120

Tyler Glasnow has a strike rate of 83% (29/35) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 62% (10/16) against Tyler Glasnow with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 38% (64/168) against Tyler Glasnow when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .102 (30-for-293) against Tyler Glasnow with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .174 — 100th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (37/194) versus Louie Varland in the 2023 season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Louie Varland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (151/206) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (13/21) against Louie Varland in late innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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