The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+120) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Dodgers are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-4 ATS.
Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-1, 54.05 ERA
Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+11.30 Units / 94% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.69 Units / -20.21% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 3.75% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.82 Units / 36.71% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -43.01% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-4 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 3.57% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -27.62% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -45.06% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 40.82% ROI
Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Muncy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Hernandez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Ohtani | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Freeman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Paxton | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Ober | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 5 of 23 batters (22%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
James Paxton allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — third Percentile.
James Paxton has thrown elevated pitches 63% of the time (17/27) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
James Paxton has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (68/97) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (856/1,089) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober threw fastballs up 87% of the time (311/356) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (1,172/1,508) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober threw his changeup 25% of the time (147/580) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.