The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+105) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 106-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 68-85 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 44 away games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 away games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 77 away games (+13.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 58 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 150 games (+30.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 80 games (+23.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 78 away games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 away games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 65 of their last 128 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games at home (+4.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 93-60 against the Run Line (+28.65 Units / 15.51% ROI).
- 106-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 3.86% ROI
- 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 3.11% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -12.13% ROI).
- 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 72-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 77-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.21% ROI
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (756/1,249) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH this season (465 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Tyler Anderson has pitched 14.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 21.2.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (172/666) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 44 of 263 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 98 of 829 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 71% (20 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an OBP of just .140 (43 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .296 — 98th Percentile.