The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+105) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 93-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 61-76 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 75 games (+17.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 57 of his last 87 games (+14.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 49 of his last 71 away games (+14.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games at home (+15.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+16.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 134 games (+11.88 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 83-52 against the Run Line (+28.1 Units / 17.35% ROI).
- 93-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 3.16% ROI
- 58-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 66-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.35% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 61-76 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -11.61% ROI).
- 75-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -5.16% ROI
Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Andrew Heaney breaking pitch was August 18th. Hitters are 0 for their last 21 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 23.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OPS of 1.024 (284 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 0 Percentile.
The last hit on a Andrew Heaney slider was August 18th. Hitters are 0 for their last 21 in ABs ending on his slider. — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 23.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% (64/248) against Andrew Heaney on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (1,009/1,583) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,236/2,848) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 26% (162/628) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has an average spin rate of 2552.4 RPM on fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 2222.3 — 100th Percentile.