The Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+125) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 92-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 60-75 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 48 of his last 69 away games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 73 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 85 games (+12.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 82-51 against the Run Line (+27.95 Units / 17.47% ROI).
- 92-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 3.42% ROI
- 56-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -11.6% ROI
- 66-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 2.8% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 60-75 against the Run Line (-19.3 Units / -11.58% ROI).
- 74-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -3.83% ROI
Julio Urias: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (868/1,195) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .199 (83-for-418) against Julio Urias this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 90th Percentile.
Julio Urias has allowed an OBP of just .250 (572 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 96th Percentile.
Julio Urias has walked 7 of 46 batters (15%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 43 of 253 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 55% (67 SO in 122 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 48 of 286 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 93 of 768 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.