The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Tuesday, October 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:08pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 99-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 85-81 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-6, 5.31 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 14-9, 2.85 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+21.50 Units / 358% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 41 games (+29.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 41 games (+16.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 82 games (+23.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 away games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 89 games (+23.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 134 games (+9.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 88 games (+7.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 81-83 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -3.62% ROI).
- 99-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -2.81% ROI
- 91-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.15 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 68-91 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.15 Units / -17.77% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 85-81 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 3.09% ROI).
- 96-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
- 86-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 1.57% ROI
- 76-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -10.45% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) |
0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) |
0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) |
0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) |
0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler (LAD) |
2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Michael King (SD) |
5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed an OPS of .862 (344 PA’s) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — fifth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 20 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .356 (343 PA’s) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — fifth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .506 (156 Total Bases / 308 ABs) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — fifth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since last season (702 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.0
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.6 MPH (439 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.6 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 36% (90/249) against Michael King when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (82/394) against Michael King on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.