The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+115) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Dodgers are 63-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-52 ATS.

Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 8-6, 3.47 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 6-9, 3.65 ERA

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.60 Units / 180% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+19.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+30.50 Units / 82% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 away games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 76 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 53-54 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.98% ROI).

• 63-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -6.19% ROI
• 54-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.68% ROI
• 52-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.26% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 56-52 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 4.07% ROI).

• 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -2.06% ROI
• 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.21% ROI
• 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -11% ROI

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 60% (70 SO in 116 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .127 (20-for-157) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .188 (170 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OPS of just .456 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 98th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 11 opportunities (46%) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (97/416) against Matt Waldron this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Matt Waldron has allowed an OBP of just .148 (54 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.

Matt Waldron has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (73 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 90.2

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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