Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+125) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Dodgers are 33-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-29 ATS.

Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 4-2, 3.60 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 0-2, 3.00 ERA

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+10.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+12.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-28 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -7.14% ROI).

  • 33-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -8.05% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.91% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -7.94% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-29 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -12.49% ROI).

  • 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -16.8% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -9.47% ROI

Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tylor Megill (NYM) 4.5 -105 4.5 -120
Gavin Stone (LAD) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 33% (34 SO in 102 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — ninth Percentile.

Gavin Stone has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Gavin Stone has walked 1 of 54 right-handed batters (2%) this month (4 games) — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Gavin Stone has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH this season (156 balls in play) — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 56% (258/461) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (329/606) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has not allowed a hit to any of the last 37 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Michael Grove has the longest active streak at 45.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (80/378) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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