The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Dodgers are 81-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 70-65 ATS.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 11-5, 3.33 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 4-0, 4.02 ERA
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 35 games (+28.60 Units / 82% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+35.40 Units / 236% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+15.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 79 games (+25.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 78 games (+22.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 66-69 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -4.68% ROI).
- 81-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -3.43% ROI
- 71-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 61-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.05 Units / -11.44% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 70-65 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.59% ROI).
- 76-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 7.57% ROI
- 75-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.95 Units / 9.32% ROI
- 55-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.2 Units / -18.43% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has allowed a .438 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– 15th Percentile and just .339 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth best among qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.
Gavin Stone has struck out just 18% (54/304) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 15th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .274 (79-for-288) against Gavin Stone this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 14th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 15% (18 SO in 117 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (268/441) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of just .218 (46 Total Bases / 211 ABs) on changeups since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .375 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 446 of Merrill Kelly’s 983 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 45%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .134 (110-for-819) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 96th Percentile.