Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20
Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Thursday, April 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-5 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 65.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.35 Units / 68% ROI)
  • James Outman has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.30 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)

Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Cubs vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +155 1.5 -210

Cubs vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Grove 4.5 +100 4.5 -130
Jameson Taillon 5.5 +120 5.5 -160

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 45% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 8-11 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -16.02% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -24.07% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -3.82% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.34% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 12-5 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 36.02% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 31.36% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -10.46% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (22/40) against Michael Grove on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .467 (7 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Michael Grove this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .244 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Michael Grove with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .257 — fifth Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .400 (14-for-35) against Michael Grove this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .248 — eighth Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 436 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 43% (27/62) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Jameson Taillon on sliders this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.

  
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