Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 17

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+145) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 80-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 46-69 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 60 away games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 52 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 112 games (+29.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 42 games (+20.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 111 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 95 games (+15.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 95 games (+8.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+1.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 73-42 against the Run Line (+28.1 Units / 20.33% ROI).

  • 80-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.47% ROI
  • 47-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -14.25% ROI
  • 59-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 5.32% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 46-69 against the Run Line (-29.2 Units / -20.88% ROI).

  • 62-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -9.82% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.28% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.77% ROI

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .203 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .126 (47-for-374) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .128 (34-for-265) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .215 (57 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 98th Percentile.

Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (91/290) against Eric Lauer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (47/135) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (113/333) against Eric Lauer this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of .988 (181 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .728 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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