Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 16
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 16

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+100) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Dodgers are 88-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 69-80 ATS.

Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 6-2, 2.76 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 9-9, 3.46 ERA

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+19.50 Units / 390% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+14.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 33 games (+22.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 46 games (+18.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games (+15.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 135 games (+36.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 73-76 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -4.07% ROI).

  • 88-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -4.41% ROI
  • 80-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 5.23% ROI
  • 65-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.1 Units / -14.04% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 69-80 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -7.96% ROI).

  • 81-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 55-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.8 Units / -25.7% ROI
  • 89-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.3 Units / 17.12% ROI

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Max Fried (ATL) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 84.1.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.1 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 31.2.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has pitched 17.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 24.0.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 17 innings — Mason Miller has the longest active streak at 21.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .219 (44 Total Bases / 201 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .181 (13-for-72) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (100/164) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (28/39) against Max Fried in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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