Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 13
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 13

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-110) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Dodgers are 87-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 67-79 ATS.

Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 2-3, 3.00 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 5-7, 3.78 ERA

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+20.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+14.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+21.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 37% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+15.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 132 games (+37.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 72-74 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -3.3% ROI).

  • 87-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -4.01% ROI
  • 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.77% ROI
  • 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.95 Units / -13.61% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 67-79 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -8.71% ROI).

  • 79-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.7 Units / -9.53% ROI
  • 53-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.7 Units / -26.8% ROI
  • 88-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.45 Units / 18.17% ROI

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Gio Urshela (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gavin Lux (LAD) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Landon Knack (LAD) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) 5.5 +105 5.5 -135

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (2/13) against Landon Knack in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (2/13) against Landon Knack this month (1 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.

Landon Knack has a strikeout rate of 36% (8 SO in 22 PAs) this month (1 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.

Landon Knack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 93% (14/15) of opposing batters this month (1 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 109 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 73% (113/154) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (254/713) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (12/88) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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