Dodgers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 28
Dodgers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 28

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Dodgers are 62-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-50 ATS.

Dodgers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: River Ryan 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 4-8, 5.70 ERA

Dodgers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Dodgers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+20.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 games (+25.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 games at home (+24.50 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+17.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+16.65 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+17.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 52-54 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -5.83% ROI).

  • 62-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -6.83% ROI
  • 54-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 51-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -7.18% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-50 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 3.84% ROI).

  • 55-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -5.01% ROI
  • 42-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.35 Units / -19.61% ROI
  • 59-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.8 Units / 11.12% ROI

Astros vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Astros vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Astros vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Astros vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
River Ryan (LAD) 3.5 -145 3.5 +110
Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) 5.5 -120 5.5 -110

River Ryan had a strike rate of just 57% (42/73) in his last start — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

River Ryan walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) in his last start — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 18% (7/38) against River Ryan in his last start — tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — sixth Percentile.

River Ryan has walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .405 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.062 (151 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .749 — first Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .444 (151 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .321 — first Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has walked 17 of 153 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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