Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 27
Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 27

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+120) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Diamondbacks vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 82-74 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 78-78 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+11.10 Units / 48% ROI)

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Christian Walker 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Tim Anderson 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Christian Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tim Anderson 1.5 +195 1.5 -250
Korey Lee 0.5 -120 0.5 -110

White Sox vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Tim Anderson 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Davies 3.5 -130 3.5 +100
Jose Urena 3.5 -135 3.5 +100

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.93 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.04 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 153 games (+7.10 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 118 games (+12.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 85-71 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 2.79% ROI).

  • 82-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 3.32% ROI
  • 69-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -11.24% ROI
  • 79-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 2.85% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 78-78 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -6.75% ROI).

  • 60-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.8 Units / -19.3% ROI
  • 69-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -10.34% ROI
  • 79-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 1.95% ROI

Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (1,276/2,010) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 40% of Zach Davies’ pitches (570/1,425) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 9% (44/505) against Zach Davies since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (21 GB hits out of 48 GBs) against Zach Davies with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 49% (43/87) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (74/146) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (647/1,249) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

  
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