The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.< /p>
This season, the Diamondbacks are 52-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 59-43 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 7-6, 4.76 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 7-6, 3.58 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+21.80 Units / 168% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 22 games (+10.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+17.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+14.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 away games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games at home (+16.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games at home (+12.94 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games at home (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 52-50 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -3.29% ROI).
- 52-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.68% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -10.49% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 59-43 against the Run Line (+7.49 Units / 5.36% ROI).
- 56-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 7.1% ROI
- 41-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -19.36% ROI
- 57-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 10.49% ROI
Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alek Thomas (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .322 (76-for-236) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .328 (61-for-186) against Ryne Nelson this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (47/152) against Ryne Nelson this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .389 against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (215/434) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (103/374) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (838/1,730) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .159 (24 GB hits out of 151 GBs) against Michael Wacha with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.