The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 59-42 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 6-5, 6.51 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-6, 4.54 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 away games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games at home (+17.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+13.94 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 51-50 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -4.08% ROI).

• 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.32% ROI
• 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 2.72% ROI
• 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.49% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 59-42 against the Run Line (+8.49 Units / 6.11% ROI).

• 56-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 8.04% ROI
• 41-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -18.51% ROI
• 56-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 9.68% ROI

Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .320 (87-for-272) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .338 (77-for-228) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 18% (123 SO in 683 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 16th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OPS of .936 (251 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .697 — first Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.2 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

Alec Marsh has walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (213 Total Bases / 299 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .574 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (73/322) against Alec Marsh this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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