The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 58-42 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Yilber Diaz 1-0, 1.54 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 6-6, 3.17 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 away games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.59 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 51-49 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.96% ROI).
- 51-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.53% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -10.6% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 58-42 against the Run Line (+7.14 Units / 5.18% ROI).
- 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 7.33% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -19.62% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 10.79% ROI
Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yilber Diaz has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .316 — 97th Percentile.
Yilber Diaz has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Yilber Diaz when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
57% of Yilber Diaz’s strikeouts are looking in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (283/806) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (316/956) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 46% (65 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 93rd Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (51 Total Bases / 167 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 86th Percentile.