The Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 83-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 74-76 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 10-6, 4.32 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+37.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 93 games (+32.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games at home (+11.64 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.03 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-73 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.18% ROI).
- 83-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 6.55% ROI
- 86-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.55 Units / 13.06% ROI
- 58-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.35 Units / -22.31% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 74-76 against the Run Line (-15.05 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 57-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.46 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.02 Units / -2.45% ROI
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -150 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (282/464) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 276 of Merrill Kelly’s 591 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 47%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 411 of Merrill Kelly’s 984 off-speed pitches out of the zone (42%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .137 (116-for-848) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game