The Arizona Diamondbacks (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 64-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 74-62 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 47 of his last 98 games (+13.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+13.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games at home (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+11.20 Units / 47% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 60 games (+31.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+13.05 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 44 away games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 79-56 against the Run Line (+19.7 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- 64-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.69% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -8.55% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.87% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 74-62 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 3.44% ROI).
- 60-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 65-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 65-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -4.59% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (fourth lowest)– seventh Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (tied for sixth highest among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .549 (594 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has not allowed a HR in any of his last nine starts dating back to July 22nd — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 11.
Zac Gallen has allowed a BABIP of .186 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 419.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (148/626) against Ryan Feltner this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
47% of Ryan Feltner’s called strikeouts are elevated this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (138 Total Bases / 284 ABs) this season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .397 — seventh Percentile.