The Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 51-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 63-52 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 40 of his last 73 games (+24.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 50 of his last 73 games (+14.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 48 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Seth Beer has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 away games (+11.35 Units / 126% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+13.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+15.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 34 games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 64-48 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 9.04% ROI).
- 51-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -4.09% ROI
- 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -8.37% ROI
- 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.89% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 63-52 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 3.33% ROI).
- 51-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.61% ROI
- 56-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 53-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -7.21% ROI
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (sixth lowest)– ninth Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (10th highest among qualified SPs)– 83rd Percentile.
10 of Zac Gallen’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (98/466) against Zac Gallen this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 17th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (29/157) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Jose Urena: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (237/455) of opposing batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Urena has struck out just 9% (31/332) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .333 (107-for-321) against Jose Urena since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (279/533) of opposing batters since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.