The Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 14-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 9-17 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 70.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 63% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.15 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 15-11 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 7.17% ROI).

• 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 19.26% ROI
• 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -4.15% ROI
• 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -3.35% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 9-17 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -30.5% ROI).

• 8-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -25.13% ROI
• 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -19.59% ROI
• 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 12.16% ROI

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly has walked 13 of 50 right-handed batters (26%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of just 58% (132/229) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Merrill Kelly walked 13 of 50 right-handed batters (26%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has thrown low pitches 72% of the time (78/108) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (34 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — third Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (385/876) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 7% (1 SO in 15 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

  
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