The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 16-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 18-17 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 1-2, 5.63 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 3-1, 3.64 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+18.50 Units / 370% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.85 Units / 63% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 61% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+10.75 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+16.40 Units / 63% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 128 games (+15.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+2.97 Units / 7% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 17-19 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -9.09% ROI).

• 16-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -15.45% ROI
• 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -17.93% ROI
• 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 9.85% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 18-17 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.98% ROI).

• 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -11.6% ROI
• 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.13% ROI
• 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -10.31% ROI

Reds vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (53 SO in 313 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (702/2,724) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has thrown his changeup 23% of the time (512/2,237) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (20/118) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has allowed a just .250 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 91st Percentile and .521 vs left-handed batters this season (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (47/140) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (20/138) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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