The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies () on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 29-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 18-30 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.35 Units / 55% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+13.55 Units / 56% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 29-20 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 13.9% ROI).

• 29-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 18.88% ROI
• 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI
• 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -7.36% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 18-30 against the Run Line (-18.4 Units / -29.58% ROI).

• 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -17.8% ROI
• 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -13.63% ROI
• 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 6.01% ROI

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .255 (133 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .505 — 97th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .112 (14 Total Bases / 125 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .088 (11-for-125) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — 97th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 55% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– sixth Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (tied for sixth highest among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (102/161) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (972/2,214) against Ranger Suarez since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .242 (44 Total Bases / 182 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .362 — 97th Percentile.

  
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